In the final quarter of 2019, with the impeachment effort at full steam, President Trump has surprisingly risen in the polls – to every political pundits utter shock!
1,064 days into his first term, President Trump is currently only 1.6% points behind President Obama in favorability at the same point in his Presidency and 3.4% points higher in disapproval.
As only the third President in history to be impeached by the House, conventional wisdom would suggest that President Trump would suffer in the polls, yet the opposite seems to be occurring.
Backlash against House Democrats, particularly those in swing districts, may be on the trouble for House Democrats may just be getting started however. A survey of the polling results shows Trump’s popularity growing by the day both before and after Pelosi called the impeachment vote.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi had warned for months that the impeachment effort was risky and may cost them seats in the House. This fear is perhaps what prompted multiple Democrats to vote against or abstain on the impeachment vote given its rising unpopularity amongst the electorate.
The final vote on impeachment failed to garner a single Republican vote and saw three Democrats vote no or abstain from the vote. This outcome is unfortunate for Pelosi politically as she made clear in March of this year what she considered a legitimate impeachment vote:
“I’m not for impeachment without bipartisan support.”
-Nancy Pelosi (March 2019)
For some vulnerable Democrats, the urge to placate the far left, liberal base proved too powerful to resist.
Below is a list of Democrats from swing districts that voted for impeachment:
| AZ-01 O’Halleran | |
| CA-10 Harder | |
| CA-21 Cox | |
| CA-39 Cisneros | |
| CA-45 Porter | |
| CA-48 Rouda | |
| IL-06 Casten | |
| KS-03 Davids | |
| MI-11 Stevens | |
| MN-02 Craig | |
| NH-01 Pappas | |
| NJ-07 Malinowski | |
| NV-03 Lee | |
| TX-07 Fletcher | |
| TX-23 Open | |
| TX-32 Allred | |
| VA-07 Spanberger | |
| GA-06 McBath | |
| IA-01 Finkenauer | |
| IA-02 Open | |
| IA-03 Axne | |
| IL-14 Underwood | |
| ME-02 Golden | |
| MI-08 Slotkin | |
| NJ-03 Kim | |
| NM-02 Torres Small | |
| NY-11 Rose | |
| NY-19 Delgado | |
| NY-22 Brindisi | |
| OK-05 Horn | |
| PA-08 Cartwright | |
| SC-01 Cunningham | |
| UT-04 McAdams | |
| VA-02 Luria |
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